Real estateNew building contracts strengthen Montenegro’s construction outlook

New building contracts strengthen Montenegro’s construction outlook

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Montenegro’s construction sector entered 2026 with moderate growth in completed work and a stronger pipeline of new building contracts, indicating that real-estate development remained active despite higher financing, labour and material costs.

The value of completed construction work reached €164.8 million in the first quarter, compared with €156.8 million a year earlier. The nominal increase was approximately 5.1 per cent.

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Effective working hours rose from 4.39 million to 4.42 million, an increase of only 0.7 per cent. The difference between the growth in completed-work value and hours worked may reflect higher prices, a shift towards more valuable projects or improvements in measured productivity.

Forward-looking contract data were stronger. New contracts for buildings almost doubled from €13.2 million in the first quarter of 2025 to €25.8 million in the first quarter of 2026. Contracts for other structures declined from €22.2 million to €20.4 million.

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Combined new contracts reached approximately €46.3 million, an increase of almost 31 per cent. The shift towards buildings suggests that residential, hotel and commercial development was providing more momentum than infrastructure works at the beginning of the year.

Construction employment increased 11.6 per cent during the first half, from an average of 21,632 workers to 24,150. The sector employed 24,678 people in June, confirming its role as one of the country’s fastest-growing labour markets.

The data support continued activity but do not eliminate project-level risks. Montenegro’s construction industry faces shortages of skilled labour, reliance on foreign workers, imported materials, municipal infrastructure constraints and long permitting cycles. Coastal development is also exposed to seasonal restrictions, congestion and environmental obligations.

Financing conditions remain important. Residential projects supported by foreign buyers and presales can proceed under a different risk model from hotels or infrastructure requiring long-term debt. Banks must assess title, planning status, construction permits, contractor capability, cost contingencies and the reliability of projected sales.

31 per cent increase in new contract value is positive, but the absolute pipeline remains modest and may be concentrated among a limited number of projects. The decline in contracts for other structures also indicates that infrastructure development was not accelerating at the same rate as private buildings.

The investment question is whether new construction is supported by adequate roads, electricity, water, wastewater treatment and public services. Buildings can be delivered more quickly than municipal and network infrastructure, creating pressure on local systems and reducing the long-term value of otherwise attractive developments.

Montenegro’s construction cycle remained active in early 2026, led increasingly by buildings. The durability of that expansion will depend less on headline square metres and more on infrastructure capacity, project documentation and the quality of financing behind the new pipeline.

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