EconomyMontenegro targets 75% employment rate by 2030 under new labour strategy

Montenegro targets 75% employment rate by 2030 under new labour strategy

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Montenegro has adopted an employment strategy intended to raise the employment rate for people aged 20 to 64 to 75 per cent by 2030, up from a stated baseline of 69.7 per cent.

The strategy also aims to reduce unemployment to 8.9 per cent and lower the proportion of young people who are outside employment, education or training from 19.2 per cent to 15 per cent.

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The first action plan, covering 2026 and 2027, carries a state-budget allocation of approximately €18.72mn. Additional support is expected through Montenegro’s Reform Agenda and the European Union’s IPA III funding mechanism.

The programme includes measures supporting industrial production, women’s entrepreneurship, regional investment and active-employment initiatives implemented through the Employment Office.

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The unemployment target may initially appear inconsistent with the registered unemployment rate of 7.62 per centrecorded in June. The figures, however, are based on different statistical systems. The strategy generally relies on labour-force indicators, while the Employment Office calculates registered unemployment from its administrative records.

The broader objective is to increase participation rather than merely reduce the number of people appearing on an unemployment register. Montenegro needs to draw more women, young people and economically inactive citizens into formal work while extending employment opportunities beyond the coastal tourism season.

Youth inactivity is one of the strategy’s most important indicators. A young person who is neither working nor studying can remain outside the productive economy for years, reducing future earnings and increasing the likelihood of emigration.

Reducing the rate to 15 per cent will require more than employment subsidies. Education programmes must align more closely with the skills required by employers, while apprenticeships and practical training need to become part of ordinary recruitment rather than exceptional pilot programmes.

Women’s entrepreneurship is another priority. Support programmes can improve access to finance and business advice, but the durability of women-owned companies will depend on whether they are integrated into supply chains and growth sectors rather than concentrated in small, low-margin activities.

Regional policy will determine whether the employment target is achieved. The coastal economy can generate large numbers of seasonal jobs, but Montenegro needs stable employment in the north and central regions to reduce migration and demographic decline.

Investment in manufacturing, food processing, energy, logistics and mountain tourism could create a more geographically balanced labour market. These sectors require infrastructure, reliable power, access to finance and local technical skills.

The €18.72mn first-phase budget is meaningful but relatively limited compared with the scale of the challenge. Its effectiveness will depend on whether programmes are linked to measurable outcomes such as sustained employment, wage progression and employer retention after subsidies expire.

European funding can expand the financial envelope, but EU programmes also require administrative capacity, reporting and verification. Montenegro has frequently secured access to development funds while struggling to implement all available projects within the planned period.

The employment strategy sets a clear numerical destination. The difficult work lies in connecting schools, municipalities, employers and investment policy so that the additional jobs are productive, formal and capable of lasting beyond the next tourism season.

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