MarketsForeign investment in Montenegro is still too property-heavy

Foreign investment in Montenegro is still too property-heavy

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Foreign direct investment remains one of Montenegro’s main sources of capital. The problem is not the absence of foreign money. The problem is where too much of it goes.

Montenegro continues to attract foreign investors, especially into real estate. The country’s Investment Agency reports that total foreign direct investment inflow from 2020 to 2024 was €4.49 billion. Of that amount, €1.76 billion went into real estate, €1.67 billion came through intercompany debt, €767.5 million went into domestic companies and banks, and €293 million went into other categories.  

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The 2024 picture tells the same story. The U.S. International Trade Administration reports that FDI in Montenegro totaled €890 million in 2024, up from €857 million in 2023, with more than half — €455 million — going into real estate. The largest investing countries included Serbia, Russia, Turkey, Germany, Switzerland and the United States.  

This is not necessarily bad. Real estate FDI can finance construction, improve tourism infrastructure, create jobs and bring higher-quality accommodation to the market. Luxury projects, marina developments, branded residences and mixed-use coastal schemes can raise Montenegro’s profile and create long-term assets.

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But there is a difference between investment that increases asset prices and investment that raises productive capacity. The Montenegrin Foreign Investors Council argues that the structure of FDI has shifted sharply since 2020: in 2024, 51.17% of foreign investment went into real estate, while only 12.8% went into productive sectors. The council also notes that investments in companies and banks were 70% lower in 2024 than in 2018.  

That is the central issue. Montenegro needs foreign capital that does more than buy apartments or finance construction. It needs capital that builds export capacity, improves productivity, creates skilled employment and reduces import dependence. Real estate absorbs money quickly, but it does not automatically create a stronger industrial base, a larger technology sector or more competitive local suppliers.

The IMF has made a similar point, warning that FDI is highly concentrated in real estate and construction and that Montenegro needs to become more attractive for investment in other sectors. That means not just better marketing, but better institutions: predictable regulation, faster permits, stronger rule of law, clearer property records, better public administration and less uncertainty for investors who want to build operating businesses.  

The opportunity is substantial. Montenegro could attract more productive FDI in renewable energy, grid infrastructure, hospitality operations, food processing, logistics, digital services, business-process outsourcing, health tourism, education, marine services and specialized manufacturing. EU accession momentum should help, but only if reforms translate into investor confidence.

A more balanced FDI model would also support tourism. Hotels and restaurants import too much of what they consume. If foreign and domestic investors built stronger local supply chains — agriculture, dairy, wine, furniture, laundry, logistics, packaging, maintenance and digital booking tools — more tourism revenue would remain inside the country.

The policy challenge is not to discourage property investment. Montenegro should continue to welcome serious real-estate investors, especially those building high-quality tourism assets. But it should not confuse property inflows with economic transformation. A country can attract billions into buildings and still struggle with exports, productivity and regional inequality.

The next phase of Montenegro’s investment story should be measured not only by how much foreign money arrives, but by how much of it creates companies, jobs, skills and exports. The key question is no longer, “Can Montenegro attract capital?” It is, “Can Montenegro attract the right kind of capital?”

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