MarketsBank balance sheets are expanding faster than the productive economy

Bank balance sheets are expanding faster than the productive economy

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Montenegro’s banking-sector assets reached €7.83bn at the end of January, 9.9 per cent higher year on year. Net loans represented 66.3 per cent of assets, securities 18.2 per cent and cash and central-bank deposits approximately 12 per cent.

Deposits accounted for 76.2 per cent of liabilities, while total banking capital reached €1.04bn, almost 15 per cent more than a year earlier. The predominantly deposit-funded structure limits wholesale refinancing exposure and provides a stable base for domestic lending.

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The risk is allocation rather than funding. Strong lending to households, property buyers and construction can sustain near-term growth while increasing concentration in assets already dependent on tourism, foreign purchasers and coastal prices.

EIB-backed facilities through the Development Bank of Montenegro and commercial lenders can help redirect credit towards digitalisation, energy efficiency, manufacturing and smaller renewable projects. A separate €187mn regional innovation and green-transformation facility will provide loans, grants and technical support to Western Balkan SMEs through partner financial institutions.

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Montenegrin businesses are eligible, but effective absorption depends on their ability to prepare audited accounts, technical investment plans, environmental documentation and credible cash-flow forecasts. The availability of concessional finance does not automatically create a bankable corporate borrower.

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